Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for AMGK had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest AMGK win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
