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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Ain
1 - 0
Al-Nassr

Rahimi (44')
Al Ahbabi (15'), Romero (45+6'), Essa (82'), Al Baloushi (83'), Al Shamsi (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yahya (66'), Al Nemer (76'), Al Amri (90+15')
Laporte (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Ain and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-4 Al Hazem
Thursday, February 29 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ain 1-1 Al-Nassr

 Al-Nassr are a star-studded side consisting of players with a huge wealth of experience; they are also currently unbeaten in the AFC Champions League this season, making them one of the favorites. However, we think the hosts will hold their own here, which means the best the visitors should get is a draw ahead of the return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-AinDrawAl-Nassr
45.82% (0.417 0.42) 22.76% (0.172 0.17) 31.41% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 64.39% (-0.949 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.65% (-1.119 -1.12)36.35% (1.127 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.52% (-1.237 -1.24)58.48% (1.244 1.24)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.27600000000001 -0.28)16.35% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.508 -0.51)45.95% (0.516 0.52)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.872 -0.87)23.02% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-1.301 -1.3)56.84% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 45.82%
    Al-Nassr 31.41%
    Draw 22.76%
Al-AinDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.206 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Al-Ain vs Al-Nassr

Al-Ain
14.5%
Draw
7.2%
Al-Nassr
78.3%
69
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
0-1
Al-Ain

Alkhaibari (67')
Fo-Doh Laba (19')
Abdulla (22'), Ali Shakir (52'), Hadeed (65'), Shiotani (68')
Feb 18, 2020 2.55pm
Group Stage
Al-Ain
1-2
Al-Nassr
Yaisien (18')
Barman (28'), Fahem (56')
Ali (57'), Hamdallah (80')
Al Obaid (65'), Amrabat (83'), Giuliano (87')
rhs 2.0
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