AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Ahal1 - 2Al-Ain
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Al-Ain.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Ahal win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
Result | ||
Ahal | Draw | Al-Ain |
12.06% ( 2.26) | 15.91% ( 1.04) | 72.04% ( -3.3) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 4.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.72% ( 1.66) | 30.29% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.47% ( 1.96) | 51.54% ( -1.96) |
Ahal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( 5.1) | 37.14% ( -5.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( 4.71) | 73.93% ( -4.71) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.64% ( -0.26) | 7.36% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.44% ( -0.7) | 26.57% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Ahal 12.06%
Al-Ain 72.04%
Draw 15.91%
Ahal | Draw | Al-Ain |
2-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.31) Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.06% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.67) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.91% | 0-2 @ 9.31% ( -1.18) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( -1.16) 1-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.79) 0-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.53) 0-5 @ 2.75% ( -0.49) 1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.32) 2-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.23) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 4% Total : 72.04% |
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Al-Ain
4-2
Ahal
Jorgens de Menezes (4'), Rahimi (32'), Fo-Doh Laba (41'), Autonne (70')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
Tagayew (58'), Meredov (85')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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