Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.