Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.