Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
