Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2022 at 11pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza1 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 10 | -6 | 6 |
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 41.75% | 28.22% | 30.03% |
| Both teams to score 45.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
