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Copa Libertadores
Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Alianza Lima

Romero (50'), Hercules (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lavandeira (70')
Rodriguez (72'), Ramos (87'), Miguez (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Alianza Lima

Last Six:
    Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
    Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortaleza in this match.

    Result
    FortalezaDrawAlianza Lima
    52.39%22.29%25.31%
    Both teams to score 61.2%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    61.53%38.47%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    39.24%60.76%
    Fortaleza Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    85.18%14.82%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    56.89%43.11%
    Alianza Lima Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71.85%28.15%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    36.17%63.83%
    Score Analysis
        Fortaleza 52.39%
        Alianza Lima 25.31%
        Draw 22.29%
    FortalezaDrawAlianza Lima
    2-1 @ 9.64%
    1-0 @ 7.96%
    2-0 @ 7.6%
    3-1 @ 6.13%
    3-0 @ 4.84%
    3-2 @ 3.89%
    4-1 @ 2.93%
    4-0 @ 2.31%
    4-2 @ 1.86%
    5-1 @ 1.12%
    Other @ 4.12%
    Total : 52.39%
    		1-1 @ 10.09%
    2-2 @ 6.11%
    0-0 @ 4.17%
    3-3 @ 1.64%
    Other @ 0.28%
    Total : 22.29%
    		1-2 @ 6.4%
    0-1 @ 5.29%
    0-2 @ 3.35%
    1-3 @ 2.7%
    2-3 @ 2.58%
    0-3 @ 1.42%
    Other @ 3.57%
    Total : 25.31%

    How you voted: Fortaleza vs Alianza Lima

    Fortaleza
    84.0%
    Draw
    16.0%
    Alianza Lima
    0.0%
    25
    rhs 2.0
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