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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Schalke

Bayern
6 - 0
Schalke

Muller (21'), Kimmich (29' pen.), Gnabry (50', 65'), Tel (80'), Mazraoui (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Krauss (20'), Brunner (28'), Bulter (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Schalke have made vast improvements in recent weeks, we expect Bayern Munich to flex their muscles and take another step towards sealing an 11th Bundesliga title in as many years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
78.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.43% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.53% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)50.47% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)6.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.25% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (-0.067 -0.07)79.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.16%
    Schalke 04 8.4%
    Draw 13.43%
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Schalke

Bayern Munich
70.4%
Draw
7.4%
Schalke 04
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Schalke
0-1
Bayern

Burgstaller (66'), Nastasic (66'), McKennie (86'), Raman (90')
Kimmich (40')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Bayern
5-0
Schalke
Lewandowski (6'), Muller (45'), Goretzka (50'), Alcantara (58'), Gnabry (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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