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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
74.06% (![]() | 16.18% (![]() | 9.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.17% (![]() | 38.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.86% (![]() | 61.14% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% (![]() | 8.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.34% (![]() | 30.66% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.84% (![]() | 47.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.39% (![]() | 82.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 12.3% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |