DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Donaustadion
Ulm0 - 4Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 Ulm
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Swarovski
Tuesday, August 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, August 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: SSV Ulm 1-3 Bayern Munich
Despite the dearth of clean sheets and lack of competitive action for Bayern, Kompany's men should secure a place in the second round on their return to the competition since their shock loss to Saarbrucken last November. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.53% ( 0.01) | 16.22% ( 0.01) | 70.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
