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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
51.39% (![]() | 25.54% (![]() | 23.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% (![]() | 54.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% (![]() | 75.8% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% (![]() | 54.1% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.21% (![]() | 38.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% (![]() | 75.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 12.75% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |