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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
21.67% ( -0) | 22.17% | 56.17% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.08% ( -0.01) | 41.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% ( -0.01) | 64.33% ( 0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.01) | 33.1% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% ( -0.01) | 69.7% ( 0.01) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% ( -0) | 14.78% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( -0.01) | 43.03% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 5.72% 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.33% Total : 21.67% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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