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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
VfL Bochum

Bayern
7 - 0
VfL Bochum

Maxim Choupo-Moting (4'), Kane (12', 54' pen., 88'), de Ligt (29'), Sane (38'), Tel (81')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Losilla (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 VfL Bochum

 Bayern will be regarded as strong favourites to claim all three points on Saturday, and their in-form attackers should have plenty of joy in the final third against a Bochum side who have already conceded seven goals in two away games this term. The hosts have shown their own signs of defensive frailties this season, conceding seven goals in their last four matches, but Tuchel's men should ultimately have too much quality for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
69.58% (0.024999999999991 0.02) 17.39% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 13.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.43% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (0.082000000000008 0.08)35.19% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.2% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.024999999999991 0.02)9.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)30.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)39.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (0.044 0.04)75.74% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.57%
    VfL Bochum 13.03%
    Draw 17.39%
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 69.57%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.39%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs VfL Bochum

Bayern Munich
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
VfL Bochum
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bayern
3-0
VfL Bochum
Muller (41'), Coman (64'), Gnabry (73' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
VfL Bochum
0-7
Bayern

Janko (46')
Sane (4'), De Ligt (25'), Coman (33'), Mane (42', 60'), Gamboa (69' og.), Gnabry (76')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
VfL Bochum
4-2
Bayern
Antwi-Adjej (14'), Locadia (38' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Holtmann (44')
Gamboa (58'), Rexhbecaj (74')
Lewandowski (9', 75')
Pavard (90')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
7-0
VfL Bochum
Sane (17'), Kimmich (27', 65'), Gnabry (32'), Lambropoulos (43' og.), Lewandowski (61'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (79')
Stanisic (52')

Stafylidis (35')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2019 7pm
Second Round
VfL Bochum
1-2
Bayern
Davies (36' og.)
Chung-yong (30'), Losilla (50')
Bella-Kotchap (88')
Gnabry (83'), Muller (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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