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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
VfL Bochum

Bayern
7 - 0
VfL Bochum

Maxim Choupo-Moting (4'), Kane (12', 54' pen., 88'), de Ligt (29'), Sane (38'), Tel (81')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Losilla (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 VfL Bochum

 Bayern will be regarded as strong favourites to claim all three points on Saturday, and their in-form attackers should have plenty of joy in the final third against a Bochum side who have already conceded seven goals in two away games this term. The hosts have shown their own signs of defensive frailties this season, conceding seven goals in their last four matches, but Tuchel's men should ultimately have too much quality for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
69.58% (0.024999999999991 0.02) 17.39% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 13.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.43% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (0.082000000000008 0.08)35.19% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.2% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.024999999999991 0.02)9.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)30.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)39.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (0.044 0.04)75.74% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.57%
    VfL Bochum 13.03%
    Draw 17.39%
Bayern MunichDrawVfL Bochum
2-0 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 69.57%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.39%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Bayern vs VfL Bochum

Bayern Munich
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
VfL Bochum
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bayern
3-0
VfL Bochum
Muller (41'), Coman (64'), Gnabry (73' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
VfL Bochum
0-7
Bayern

Janko (46')
Sane (4'), De Ligt (25'), Coman (33'), Mane (42', 60'), Gamboa (69' og.), Gnabry (76')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
VfL Bochum
4-2
Bayern
Antwi-Adjej (14'), Locadia (38' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Holtmann (44')
Gamboa (58'), Rexhbecaj (74')
Lewandowski (9', 75')
Pavard (90')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
7-0
VfL Bochum
Sane (17'), Kimmich (27', 65'), Gnabry (32'), Lambropoulos (43' og.), Lewandowski (61'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (79')
Stanisic (52')

Stafylidis (35')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2019 7pm
Second Round
VfL Bochum
1-2
Bayern
Davies (36' og.)
Chung-yong (30'), Losilla (50')
Bella-Kotchap (88')
Gnabry (83'), Muller (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316
> Bundesliga Full Table


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