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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Werder Bremen logo

Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Guirassy (28'), Friedl (51' og.)
Ryerson (10')
Schlotterbeck (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bittencourt (65'), Ducksch (72')
Bittencourt (63'), Njinmah (79'), Stage (87'), Friedl (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Werder Bremen

Dortmund fans will expect a reaction from their players after a series of poor performances, and they may benefit from the new manager bounce. However, Werder Bremen have been prolific in front of goal in recent matchweeks, and BVB will have their work cut out to keep them at bay on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
56.92% (0.171 0.17) 20.48% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 22.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.28% (0.235 0.23)32.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.6% (0.269 0.27)54.39% (-0.271 -0.27)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (0.122 0.12)11.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.57% (0.263 0.26)36.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)62.48% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.92%
    Werder Bremen 22.59%
    Draw 20.48%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 8.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
16.2%
Werder Bremen
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Werder Bremen
0-0
Dortmund
Weiser (41'), Friedl (59')
Anton (29'), Sule (34'), Ryerson (48'), Schlotterbeck (53'), Bensebaini (85'), Gross (90+1')
Schlotterbeck (73')
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')
Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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