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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.92% (![]() | 20.48% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.28% (![]() | 32.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.6% (![]() | 54.39% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% (![]() | 11.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.57% (![]() | 36.43% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% (![]() | 62.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 8.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |