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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Freiburg logo

Frankfurt
4 - 1
Freiburg

Koch (43'), Marmoush (65'), Ekitike (71'), Collins (81')
Skhiri (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doan (37')
Ginter (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt's home record is strong despite their loss last time out at Deutsche Bank Park, and they should be considered favourites. Having said that, the Eagles' performance against St Pauli was far from perfect, and if they perform similarly on Tuesday, then Freiburg will undoubtedly create chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
58.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 21.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 20.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)39.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.031000000000006 0.03)13.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (0.071000000000005 0.07)40.29% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)33.19% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)69.8% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 58.39%
    Freiburg 20.3%
    Draw 21.31%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt
81.6%
Draw
14.6%
Freiburg
3.9%
103
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
3-3
Frankfurt
Doan (30'), Grifo (45+5' pen.), Gregoritsch (89')
Marmoush (27'), Knauff (35', 72')
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frankfurt
0-0
Freiburg
Ebimbe (45+2'), Pacho (52'), Koch (86'), Trapp (86')
Ginter (33'), Eggestein (86')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Frankfurt
2-1
Freiburg
Kolo (83'), Ebimbe (90+1')
Sow (45+3'), Buta (64'), Ebimbe (90+4'), Aaronson (90+6')
Grifo (44')
Schmidt (34'), Eggestein (82')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
1-1
Frankfurt
Ginter (47')
Kolo (42')
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Frankfurt
1-2
Freiburg
Kostic (54')
Hinteregger (45+4')
Grifo (27'), Petersen (69')
Demirovic (45+4'), Lienhart (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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