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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Yobel Kelati (84')
Knudsen (53'), Weiner (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hlozek (26', 56'), Kramaric (45+1')
Chaves (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hoffenheim

While Hoffenheim are yet to record a win on the road this season, their stellar record against newly-promoted teams in their travels – as well as the leaky defence of the hosts at home – stands them in good stead to claim their first victory away from home this term. Therefore, we reckon the visitors will register a 2-1 victory – their first away win of the season at the Holstein-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
45.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 22.7% (0.215 0.22) 31.63% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.76% (-0.916 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-1.16 -1.16)35.91% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-1.288 -1.29)58% (1.287 1.29)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)16.23% (0.46 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.848 -0.85)45.75% (0.845 0.84)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.664 -0.66)22.68% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.988 -0.99)56.33% (0.98500000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 45.67%
    Hoffenheim 31.64%
    Draw 22.7%
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel
47.5%
Draw
20.0%
Hoffenheim
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
3-2
Holstein Kiel
Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')
Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')
Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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