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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hoffenheim |
45.67% (![]() | 22.7% (![]() | 31.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.09% (![]() | 35.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42% (![]() | 58% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% (![]() | 16.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% (![]() | 45.75% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% (![]() | 56.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 9.93% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
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