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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Holstein Kiel
5 - 1
Augsburg

Rosenboom (12'), Harres (32', 35'), Machino (39', 90+1')
Rapp (31')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Claude-Maurice (5')
Wolf (29'), Giannoulis (68'), Vargas (83'), Mounie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Augsburg

Augsburg's away form has been a cause for concern, with their last victory on the road coming nine months ago. However, Kiel's defensive frailties present a golden opportunity for the Bavarians to rediscover their winning touch and condemn the promoted side to their 12th defeat this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawAugsburg
34.5% (0.69 0.69) 23.63% (-0.121 -0.12) 41.87% (-0.568 -0.57)
Both teams to score 62.39% (0.653 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51% (0.77 0.77)39.49% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17% (0.799 0.8)61.83% (-0.796 -0.8)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.741 0.74)22.78% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (1.085 1.09)56.48% (-1.082 -1.08)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.2% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (0.12 0.12)50.89% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 34.5%
    Augsburg 41.87%
    Draw 23.63%
Holstein KielDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Augsburg

Holstein Kiel
Draw
Augsburg
Holstein Kiel
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Augsburg
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2019 5.30pm
Round of 16
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (85')
Gotze (38'), Dong-won (77'), Hahn (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern28215281275468
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen28188263342962
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt28146855421348
4Mainz 05Mainz28137846321446
5RB Leipzig2812974435945
6Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach28135104541444
7Freiburg28126103844-642
8Borussia DortmundDortmund28125115243941
9Stuttgart28117105144740
10Werder Bremen28116114553-839
11Augsburg2810993139-839
12Wolfsburg28108104942738
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2896132640-1433
14Hoffenheim2869133452-1827
15St Pauli2875162334-1126
16Heidenheim2864183253-2122
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2855182859-3120
18Holstein Kiel2846183968-2918


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