MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 00:07:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Mainz

Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With Wolfsburg more or less having nothing to play for besides a mid-table finish, Mainz should claim a point at the Volkswagen Arena to extend their undefeated run to nine and secure next year's Bundesliga participation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
54.39% (4.958 4.96) 22.09% (-1.276 -1.28) 23.53% (-3.676 -3.68)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (2.52 2.52)39.34% (-2.516 -2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (2.586 2.59)61.68% (-2.582 -2.58)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (2.631 2.63)14.47% (-2.627 -2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (4.855 4.86)42.44% (-4.852 -4.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.504 -1.5)30.04% (1.506 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-1.848 -1.85)66.16% (1.852 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 54.39%
    Mainz 05 23.53%
    Draw 22.08%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.511 0.51)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.675 0.68)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.753 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.262 0.26)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.561 0.56)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.551 0.55)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.273 0.27)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.3 0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.89 -0.89)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.692 -0.69)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

Wolfsburg
36.8%
Draw
38.2%
Mainz 05
25.0%
68
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen00000000
2Borussia DortmundDortmund00000000
3Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach00000000
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt00000000
5Augsburg00000000
6Bayern MunichBayern00000000
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin00000000
8Mainz 05Mainz00000000
9Heidenheim00000000
10Holstein Kiel00000000
11RB Leipzig00000000
12Freiburg00000000
13St Pauli00000000
14Hoffenheim00000000
15Stuttgart00000000
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum00000000
17Wolfsburg00000000
18Werder Bremen00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!