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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | St Pauli |
39.38% ( -0.83) | 23.86% ( 0.09) | 36.76% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.79% ( -0.36) | 40.21% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.42% ( -0.37) | 62.58% ( 0.37) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.54) | 20.64% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.86) | 53.21% ( 0.86) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 0.22) | 21.92% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% ( 0.33) | 55.19% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |