MX23RW : Friday, January 17 22:50:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Burkardt (23', 69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hofmann (33'), Sissoko (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-3 Mainz
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 VfL Bochum

Mainz are enjoying their best season in recent memory and have dominated this fixture with four wins and a draw in their last five league encounters against Bochum. The hosts ended 2024 with five wins in their last six games, and we feel they will kickstart the New Year with a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
49.15% (-0.207 -0.21) 23.85% (0.055 0.05) 27% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.126 -0.13)44.22% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.121 -0.12)66.6% (0.125 0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (-0.128 -0.13)18.1% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (-0.22 -0.22)49.04% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05)29.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.061 0.06)66.01% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.15%
    VfL Bochum 27%
    Draw 23.84%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.15%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
92.1%
Draw
4.8%
VfL Bochum
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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