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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 48.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.035000000000004 0.04)54.94% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.53%
    Holstein Kiel 48.56%
    Draw 21.91%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel

Werder Bremen
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2110653629736
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg217682435-1127
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


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