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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 48.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.035000000000004 0.04)54.94% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.53%
    Holstein Kiel 48.56%
    Draw 21.91%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel

Werder Bremen
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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