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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
15.49% (![]() | 17.4% (![]() | 67.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.65% (![]() | 29.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.59% (![]() | 50.4% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.11% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.67% (![]() | 68.33% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.87% (![]() | 8.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.47% (![]() | 28.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.25% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 7.44% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 9.33% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 67.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |