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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
15.49% ( 0.17) | 17.4% ( 0.11) | 67.11% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.65% ( -0.18) | 29.35% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.59% ( -0.23) | 50.4% ( 0.23) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.11% ( 0.08) | 31.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.67% ( 0.09) | 68.33% ( -0.08) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.87% ( -0.1) | 8.13% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.47% ( -0.27) | 28.53% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 67.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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