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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Erras (28')
Gigovic (35'), Remberg (38'), Porath (59'), Knudsen (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Siersleben (18'), Gimber (33'), Mainka (68'), Schoppner (70'), Pieringer (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Heidenheim
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Heidenheim

Despite Heidenheim's underwhelming record at Kiel, the visitors have more about them than the struggling 17th-placed side and will back themselves to clinch a third road top-flight success in five away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
29.49% (0.324 0.32) 23.53% (0.128 0.13) 46.99% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (-0.401 -0.4)41.06% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (-0.413 -0.41)63.45% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.012 0.01)26.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.75% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.331 -0.33)17.72% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.575 -0.57)48.39% (0.574 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 29.49%
    Heidenheim 46.99%
    Draw 23.52%
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.115 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel
27.5%
Draw
23.5%
Heidenheim
49.0%
51
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
Heidenheim
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Mainka (2'), Kleindienst (68'), Beste (75' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 12.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Heidenheim
Lorenz (56')
Lorenz (37')
Kleindienst (71')
Husing (62'), Schimmer (68'), Geipl (84')
Nov 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Heidenheim
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Kuhlwetter (1'), Leipertz (85')
Geipl (35')
Bartels (30')
Muhling (39'), Neumann (87')
Apr 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heidenheim
1-0
Holstein Kiel
Kleindienst (17')
Kuhlwetter (44'), Schnatterer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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