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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Dortmund have been superb in 2024, and with almost a full complement available to Terzic, they could hand out more misery on Wolfsburg here. Already in the midst of a six-game winless run, Kovac could hardly have asked for many tougher challenges to arrest that run, and Wolfsburg's dismal record against Dortmund only further shortens their chance of success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 27.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win is 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
27.56% (1.239 1.24) 22.63% (0.591 0.59) 49.81% (-1.831 -1.83)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-1.009 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.816 -1.82)38.14% (1.817 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-1.96 -1.96)60.41% (1.958 1.96)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)26.36% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (-0.114 -0.11)61.5% (0.113 0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-1.27 -1.27)15.58% (1.27 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (-2.415 -2.42)44.54% (2.415 2.42)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.56%
    Borussia Dortmund 49.81%
    Draw 22.63%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.258 0.26)
1-0 @ 5.48% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.56%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.347 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.325 0.33)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Borussia Dortmund
73.5%
83
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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