Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Darmstadt0 - 3Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-3 Standard Liege
Tuesday, January 9 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, January 9 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Returning to winning ways is high on the agenda for these two out-of-form teams, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should ultimately have too much for a defensively-frail Darmstadt side, who have already conceded a league-high 41 goals so far this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.01% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0) | 42.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
