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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
36.56% ( -0.12) | 24.29% ( -0.02) | 39.15% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.69% ( 0.1) | 42.3% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( 0.1) | 64.71% ( -0.1) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( -0.02) | 22.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.24% ( -0.02) | 56.76% ( 0.02) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( 0.11) | 21.66% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.21% ( 0.17) | 54.79% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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