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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Koln logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
FC Koln

Paredes (40')
Svanberg (57'), Maehle (68'), Paredes (73'), Lacroix (77'), Pejcinovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alidou (38')
Schmitz (43'), Ljubicic (45+8'), Huseinbasic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-0 FC Koln

Neither side have been scoring prolifically this season, meaning that there is unlikely to be many goals scored when they meet in Lower Saxony on Saturday. Both managers will be lamenting injuries to key attacking personnel. However, Wolfsburg have at least managed to score in both of their matches since returning from the winter break, and if they can do so again, we can envisage that being enough to return to winning ways against Koln. The visitors appear destined for relegation this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
36.56% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 24.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 39.15% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.34% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (0.099999999999994 0.1)42.3% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (0.099000000000004 0.1)64.71% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.97% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.76% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.108 0.11)21.66% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.169 0.17)54.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 36.56%
    FC Koln 39.15%
    Draw 24.28%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.15%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs FC Koln

Wolfsburg
82.1%
Draw
3.6%
FC Koln
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
FC Koln
1-2
Wolfsburg
Waldschmidt (55')
Adamyan (49')
Wind (62', 72')
Cerny (58'), Majer (79'), Wind (89'), Arnold (89'), Zesiger (90+4')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
FC Koln
0-2
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (4'), Arnold (68' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Wolfsburg
2-4
FC Koln
Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
FC Koln
0-1
Wolfsburg
Gerhardt (43')
Nmecha (50'), Bialek (90+4')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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