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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.07% | 23.9% | 50.03% |
Both teams to score 56.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% | 45.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% | 67.54% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% | 31.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% | 67.46% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% | 49.09% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
1-0 @ 6.59% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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