Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.