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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City

Birmingham felt lost with Rooney at the helm, but the appointment of Mowbray ticks all the right boxes, and he will be desperate to begin with a win on Saturday. Swansea are also hoping for a new manager bounce, but we believe that a fired-up St Andrew's crowd will witness a match to remember in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)26.06% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 36.06%
    Swansea City 37.85%
    Draw 26.08%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
68.8%
Draw
3.1%
Swansea City
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Swansea
1-1
Birmingham
Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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