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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Millwall

Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Millwall

Millwall head into this contest in the better form and will fancy their chances of edging out their hosts. Nevertheless, in a game between two clubs who have just one draw between them this season, we are backing Rovers to bounce back from their latest defeat with success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.42% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.22% (0.423 0.42) 23.36% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.142 -1.14)56.69% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.927 -0.93)77.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)22.56% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-1.294 -1.29)56.16% (1.293 1.29)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)39.78% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.191 -0.19)76.45% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.42%
    Millwall 23.36%
    Draw 26.22%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
65.8%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
13.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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