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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
5 - 0
Cardiff

Horvath (9' og.), Koleosho (31'), Brownhill (51'), Amdouni (88'), Berg Gudmundsson (90+2')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramsey (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Burnley made Turf Moor a fortress during their title-winning campaign of 2022-23, and we are expecting a similar story for the Clarets this time around. Cardiff have been unconvincing to date this season, so we cannot envisage them collecting any points during a trip to one of the favourites for automatic promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
31.3% (-1.659 -1.66) 24.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.15% (1.669 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)44.88% (0.591 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (-0.565 -0.56)67.23% (0.571 0.57)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.318 -1.32)27.25% (1.323 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-1.748 -1.75)62.68% (1.754 1.75)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.508 0.51)20.43% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.797 0.8)52.88% (-0.792 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.3%
    Cardiff City 44.15%
    Draw 24.54%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.169 0.17)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.354 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.123 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
90.4%
Draw
3.8%
Cardiff City
5.8%
52
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Burnley
3-0
Cardiff
Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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