MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 14:36:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (33')

The Match

Match Report

James Garner had put the visitors ahead in the East Midlands derby at Pride Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
37.35%29.76%32.88%
Both teams to score 42.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.53%64.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.49%83.51%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.79%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78%36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.35%
    Nottingham Forest 32.88%
    Draw 29.75%
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.02%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.75%
0-1 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 32.88%

How you voted: Derby vs Nott'm Forest

Derby County
49.3%
Draw
28.5%
Nottingham Forest
22.2%
144
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Derby
Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
Waghorn (30')
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd32216546232367
3Burnley32171323993064
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn32146123731648
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom321114741301147
7Bristol City32111294036445
8Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32129114548-345
9Middlesbrough31128115042844
10Coventry CityCoventry32128124240244
11Norwich CityNorwich321110115044643
12Watford32126144248-642
13Queens Park RangersQPR321011113541-641
14Millwall311010113132-140
15Preston North EndPreston3191393438-440
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd32911123445-1138
17Swansea CitySwansea32107153343-1037
18Portsmouth3289153955-1633
19Stoke CityStoke31711132839-1132
20Cardiff CityCardiff31710143453-1931
21Derby CountyDerby3278173342-929
22Hull City3178163142-1129
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31610153464-3028
24Luton TownLuton3176183051-2127


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!