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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
3 - 2
Plymouth

Mumba (45+1' og.), Hirst (54'), Harness (86')
Luongo (32'), Woolfenden (66'), Williams (68'), Edmundson (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (7'), Edwards (90+1')
Miller (28'), Mumba (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth certainly showed last season that they can compete with Kieran McKenna's Ipswich side, but the hosts have stepped up to a new level this term, and we cannot envisage the Pilgrims derailing their momentum, particularly at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
66.4% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04) 18.05% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 15.54% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87%9.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.03%30.96%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.068999999999999 0.07)70.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 66.4%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.54%
    Draw 18.05%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Plymouth Argyle
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ipswich
1-1
Plymouth
Burns (63')
Mumba (90+3')
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Mumba (69'), Whittaker (75')
Ladapo (39')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Morsy (37')
Morsy (28'), Burns (63')

Crichlow (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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