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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Huddersfield
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-2 Sunderland

With both teams having been poor since the return from the international break, this is a difficult one to call. Sunderland are always a threat in the final third, yet we feel that Millwall will take advantage of their growing uncertainty at the back to claim a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
29.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 45.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)20% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 29.81%
    Sunderland 45.67%
    Draw 24.51%
MillwallDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.67%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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