MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:01:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Ipswich
3 - 1
Millwall

Chaplin (5'), Luongo (12'), Broadhead (39')
Luongo (25'), Broadhead (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nisbet (78')
Flemming (37'), Honeyman (46'), De Norre (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Millwall

Ipswich produced arguably their worst performance of the season at The Hawthorns on Saturday, meaning they will be desperate to put things right in front of their home faithful in this one. Millwall have a tricky quartet of fixtures coming up, and we cannot imagine them picking up any points from their trip to East Anglia on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
44.03% (1.379 1.38) 25.92% (0.507 0.51) 30.05% (-1.891 -1.89)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-2.521 -2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-2.879 -2.88)51.32% (2.874 2.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-2.571 -2.57)73.14% (2.565 2.57)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.584 -0.58)23.21% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.858 -0.86)57.1% (0.852 0.85)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-2.744 -2.74)31.34% (2.739 2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-3.306 -3.31)67.71% (3.301 3.3)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.03%
    Millwall 30.05%
    Draw 25.91%
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.62% (1.003 1)
2-1 @ 9% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.614 0.61)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.03%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.802 0.8)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.338 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Millwall

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
20.9%
Millwall
2.3%
43
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
1-1
Ipswich
Afobe (15')
Ladapo (54')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Ipswich
0-3
Millwall
Wallace (38'), Afobe (50'), Malone (54')
McNamara (31')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
2-3
Millwall
Lankester (2'), Jackson (89')
Ferguson (60' pen.), Cooper (68'), Elliott (76')
Morison (66')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
3-0
Ipswich
Gregory (26', 51'), Leonard (70')

Pennington (57')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Millwall
Waghorn (53', 55')
Carayol (61'), Spence (80'), Gleeson (82'), Waghorn (90')
Cooper (27'), Saville (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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