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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
44.03% ( 1.38) | 25.92% ( 0.51) | 30.05% ( -1.89) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -2.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -2.88) | 51.32% ( 2.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( -2.57) | 73.14% ( 2.57) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.58) | 23.21% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -0.86) | 57.1% ( 0.85) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -2.74) | 31.34% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -3.31) | 67.71% ( 3.3) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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