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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
36.42% ( 0.02) | 23.91% ( -0) | 39.66% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.51% ( 0.02) | 40.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.13% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0.02) | 22.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( 0.03) | 55.64% ( -0.03) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% | 20.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.81% ( 0) | 53.18% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.42% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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