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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swansea

Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Swansea City

Although both teams are going through a period where a win feels further way than it once did, we can only back Oxford to prevail from this contest courtesy of their impressive home record, one which comes accompanied with a strong defensive effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
34.92% (-0.398 -0.4) 26.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.99% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.68% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.215 -0.22)27.82% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.276 -0.28)63.41% (0.273 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.251 0.25)25.49% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.343 0.34)60.32% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 34.92%
    Swansea City 38.99%
    Draw 26.09%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.99%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
61.9%
Draw
26.2%
Swansea City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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