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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 35.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Derby County |
35.67% ( 0.11) | 26.77% ( 0) | 37.56% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( -0) | 53.45% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0) | 74.98% ( 0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.07) | 28.7% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( 0.09) | 64.53% ( -0.08) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( -0.07) | 27.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( -0.09) | 63.1% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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