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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first win of the season before the international break, but we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw against an Oxford side who have seen their last two matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
40.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.061 -0.06)45.17% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.47% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.125 -0.13)60.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.72%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.83%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
2-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Watford158162322125
5Burnley146621761124
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
7Millwall146441712522
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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