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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
40.72% ( 0.1) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( -0.06) | 45.17% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( -0.06) | 67.52% ( 0.06) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( 0.02) | 22.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% ( 0.03) | 55.53% ( -0.03) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( -0.09) | 25.47% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -0.13) | 60.31% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
5 | Burnley | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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