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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Southampton logo

Rotherham
0 - 2
Southampton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Bednarek (4'), Armstrong (38')
Downes (57'), Armstrong (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 0-2 Southampton

Rotherham United have certainly showed signs of improvement in recent weeks and can be resilient, but we see Saturday's visitors being too strong and can only envisage the Saints outclassing Richardson's side and returning to the south coast with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSouthampton
13.28% (-0.194 -0.19) 18.38% (0.122 0.12) 68.34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-1.032 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.62% (-1.061 -1.06)39.37% (1.057 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.28% (-1.116 -1.12)61.71% (1.113 1.11)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (-0.971 -0.97)41.37% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.869 -0.87)77.89% (0.86499999999999 0.86)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48% (-0.277 -0.28)10.52% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.79% (-0.622 -0.62)34.21% (0.619 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 13.28%
    Southampton 68.33%
    Draw 18.38%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.28%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.38%
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.29 0.29)
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.368 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 8.28% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-4 @ 4.66% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.12% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-5 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 68.33%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Southampton

Rotherham United
14.8%
Draw
18.5%
Southampton
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Southampton
1-1
Rotherham
Armstrong (2')
Deen Sulemana (33'), Bednarek (82')
Hugill (74')
Peltier (31'), Tiehi (68'), Clucas (76'), Lembikisa (84'), Kelly (90+2'), Appiah (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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