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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Southampton logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Southampton

Davis (13'), Broadhead (68'), Sarmiento (90+7')
Morsy (16'), Taylor (70'), Chaplin (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Adams (14'), Armstrong (23')
Bednarek (90+5')
Bree (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-2 Southampton

As ruthless as Ipswich have been in front of goal at Portman Road, the Championship leaders are prone to a defensive collapse in front of their own fans, music to the ears of a free-scoring Southampton unit. However, with Martin's men also struggling for clean sheets in the second tier, the victory that the visitors crave may elude them, and a high-scoring stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSouthampton
51.89% (-2.366 -2.37) 20.59% (0.543 0.54) 27.51% (1.817 1.82)
Both teams to score 69.86% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-1.061 -1.06)28.12% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-1.326 -1.33)48.89% (1.32 1.32)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)11.39% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (-2.172 -2.17)36.13% (2.168 2.17)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.54899999999999 0.55)21.16% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.849 0.85)54.03% (-0.854 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 51.89%
    Southampton 27.51%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-2 @ 2.7% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.231 -0.23)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.4% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.29 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.162 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.11 0.11)
3-4 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.51%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Southampton

Ipswich Town
Draw
Southampton
Ipswich Town
62.2%
Draw
22.4%
Southampton
15.3%
98
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Southampton
0-1
Ipswich

Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
Jan 4, 2015 3pm
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-5
Southampton
Andrews (56'), Emmanuel-Thomas (61')
Delaney (35'), Chopra (81')
Lambert (4', 11'), Connolly (42'), Lallana (76', 90')
Richardson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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