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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Birmingham logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Birmingham

Hume (45+3'), Diallo (75')
Cirkin (16')
Cirkin (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hall (29')
Bielik (34'), Colin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sunderland
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City

Sunderland will be buoyed by their much-needed win at Cardiff on Monday and should be confident of beating a Birmingham side who arguably have nothing to play for in the remaining five matches. Blues have been good defensively in recent matches, but we see a slip in concentration at the Stadium of Light for the visitors in this one, ultimately leading to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
44.38% (0.13 0.13) 26.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 29.41% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)74.42% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.68% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.102 0.1)57.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)32.58% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.081 -0.08)69.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.41%
    Draw 26.21%
SunderlandDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham

Sunderland
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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