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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Birmingham logo

Reading
1 - 1
Birmingham

Carroll (7')
Fornah (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jutkiewicz (29')
Bielik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Birmingham City

Reading are in a dangerous situation following their six-point deduction and desperately need three points to ease their understandable relegation worries. Birmingham will be hopeful of continuing a decent run of results and performances in Berkshire on Friday, and we believe they will do just that to all but secure their Championship safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
38.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.89%
    Birmingham City 33.95%
    Draw 27.15%
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
33.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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