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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Swansea logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Swansea

Nombe (64')
Ayala (12'), Rathbone (79'), Hall (86')
Ayala (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Patino (45'), Yates (73')
Darling (18'), Lowe (39'), Humphreys (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Swansea City

With their position in the fight for survival quickly worsening, Rotherham will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf on Saturday, but Swansea City boast more quality than their hosts, and both ticking over under temporary stewardship, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
29.09% (0.26 0.26) 24.33% (0.093 0.09) 46.58% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.262 -0.26)44.98% (0.26199999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.252 -0.25)67.33% (0.253 0.25)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.060000000000002 0.06)64.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.25 -0.25)19.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)51.27% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.09%
    Swansea City 46.58%
    Draw 24.33%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Swansea

Rotherham United
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Swansea City
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
1-1
Rotherham
Piroe (42')
Ogbene (52')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
1-1
Swansea
Ogbene (16')
Bramall (90+3')
Darling (38')
Sorinola (55'), Piroe (80')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rotherham
1-3
Swansea
Ladapo (65')
Wood (35')
Hourihane (28'), Grimes (38'), Fulton (74')
Ayew (9')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-0
Rotherham
Grimes (28')
Bennett (32')

Barlaser (45+1')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-3
Rotherham
McBurnie (36', 79'), McKay (50'), Byers (69')
Ihiekwe (10'), Crooks (38'), Vaulks (83')
Ajayi (13')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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