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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
29.09% ( 0.26) | 24.33% ( 0.09) | 46.58% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 57.37% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.26) | 44.98% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.25) | 67.33% ( 0.25) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( 0.05) | 28.79% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( 0.06) | 64.64% ( -0.06) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( -0.25) | 19.43% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% ( -0.41) | 51.27% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.09% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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