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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Wigan logo

Watford
1 - 1
Wigan

Davis (45')
Wilder (30'), Davis (89'), Louza (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McClean (51')
Power (29'), Rekik (29'), Sinani (45+2'), Darikwa (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Watford started quickly during the win over Birmingham, and Wilder will be hoping his team do the same on Saturday against a Wigan side who struggle to recover from losing positions, especially away from home. The Latics face another formidable opponent on the road after trips to West Bromwich Albion and Burnley earlier in the month, and we expect Maloney's men to earn nothing out of their Vicarage Road test on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
53.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.82% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.41% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.94% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.83%
    Wigan Athletic 21.33%
    Draw 24.82%
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Watford vs Wigan

Watford
87.5%
Draw
10.0%
Wigan Athletic
2.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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