Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.