Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.