Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario3 - 2Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 45.54% | 24.46% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 57.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% | 45.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% | 67.42% |
| Universitario Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% | 19.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.96% | 52.04% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.08% | 63.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Universitario 45.54%
Independiente del Valle 29.99%
Draw 24.46%
| Universitario | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.54% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.99% |
Head to Head
May 5, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Independiente
4-0
Universitario
Form Guide
