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Juventus logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Frosinone logo

Juventus
4 - 0
Frosinone

Milik (11' pen., 38', 48'), Yildiz (61')
Locatelli (20'), Kostic (32'), Gatti (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 2-1 Frosinone

Juventus have never lost to Frosinone in Serie A, winning six of seven league encounters, and they are not likely to be beaten in midweek. Despite eliminating Torino and Napoli from the Coppa Italia, the Canarini's away record makes for grim reading, so their talented kids surely cannot cope with rejuvenated Juve. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFrosinone
63.11% (-0.573 -0.57) 21.22% (0.351 0.35) 15.67% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-1.096 -1.1)47.04% (1.094 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-1.03 -1.03)69.28% (1.028 1.03)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.524 -0.52)14.27% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-1.032 -1.03)42.05% (1.03 1.03)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22% (-0.371 -0.37)42.77% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9% (-0.318 -0.32)79.1% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 63.11%
    Frosinone 15.67%
    Draw 21.22%
JuventusDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.11%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.166 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.275 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: Juventus vs Frosinone

Juventus
90.0%
Draw
6.4%
Frosinone
3.6%
110
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Frosinone
1-2
Juventus
Baez (51')
Yildiz (12'), Vlahovic (81')
Cambiaso (20'), McKennie (43')
Feb 15, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 23, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frosinone
0-2
Juventus

Perica (29'), Molinaro (62'), Sportiello (80')
Ronaldo (81'), Bernardeschi (90')
Bentancur (28')
Feb 7, 2016 2pm
Sep 23, 2015 7.45pm
Juventus
1-1
Frosinone
Zaza (50')
Bonucci (46'), Zaza (67')
Blanchard (92')
Crivello (32'), Soddimo (36'), Rosi (84')
rhs 2.0
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